Gilbert Strizich 144211
Proyecto de Titulación I
The piece Trying to Pull Together, published by The Economist in 2011, provides a broad
analysis of the changing relationship between the Chinese government and
selected sub-Saharan African countries receiving economic resources from
China. Chinese companies that were initially viewed as sources of growth are
now being criticized for their aggressive business tactics and the shoddy quality
of their construction projects. Many African countries now view billion dollar
projects and investment with increasing anxiety.
The
Chinese approach to development in Africa differs drastically from the American
approach. As mentioned in the article, “Politics can be even murkier than
finance. For years China has been chummy with African despots who seem to be
reliable partners.” Whereas the United States companies require a certain
amount of “good governance” in
prospective countries in order to protect investments, the Chinese for go such
requirements. This has meant in
part that the Chinese are investing more vigorously in Africa- but what is the
real economic impact of this investment? In addition to concerns over ill
constructed infrastructure projects, there is increasing evidence that shows
certain forms of foreign direct investment can radically raise inflation in
economies that are less developed. This in turn can put unforeseen pressures on
a country’s currency. Similarly, certain forms of foreign direct investment are
more susceptible in retaining wealth in the receiver country, and others not- it
is important to know which is the case in Africa.
Also
worth considering are the different approaches in providing finance, and the
implications of these approaches. The article points out, “Perhaps the most
significant Chinese push has been in finance. Industrial and Commercial Bank of
China has bought 20% of Standard Bank, a South African lender and the continent's
biggest bank by assets, and now offers renminbi accounts to expatriate traders.
Other mainland banks have opened offices too, and from their sleek towers they
make collateral-free loans to Chinese companies. In theory Africans are
eligible to borrow on the same terms, but this rarely happens.” This is only an
aspect of financial practices to analyze.
The
real potential area of investigation that comes to mind is a comparative study
of these two approaches on economic growth through examining
macro-economic indicators over the last ten years. While one may accurately
assume that the healthy growth is more likely in countries receiving American
investment, what is the effect of a rapid influx of investment, even if the
investment is more volatile? These are questions that many have considered, but
it is worth wondering if there is anything unique to African countries that
would alter these considerations. After all, each country is different. Perhaps the best way of
doing this is two compare the two countries that receive the highest amount of
investment by the Chinese and Americans, respectively. However, should it be
highest amount in proportion to the their respective GDPs, or would that even
change the results?
These
are only facets of the analyzing what is in reality a huge, highly complex
question. To attempt to isolate certain tendencies to within these approaches,
then accurately analyze their impact on growth and development is a huge task.
However it is a question that needs to be considered, as insights provided
through attempted to address it could be highly beneficial to African
countries, and perhaps also developing economies.
http://www.economist.com/node/18586448
De esto sale bien fácil una tesis de licenciatura, con
la siguiente pregunta de investigación:
Have the two approaches towards economic development in sub-Saharn Africa practiced by the
United States and China over the last ten years led to similar levels of economic growth, and what is
the nature of this growth? Y la siguente
hipótesis: The two varying approaches have had a number of different consequences
in certain areas of the economy, leading to some countries in a healthier
economic state than others.
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